Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.956272 2.247859 2.571489 2.957913 3.407557 3.915196 4.533082
2025-05-04 1.540921 1.936049 2.418481 3.053602 3.871840 4.895993 6.283627
2025-05-11 1.289572 1.719784 2.279774 3.067583 4.156130 5.619993 7.759206
2025-05-18 1.116197 1.561608 2.172113 3.078676 4.405440 6.298965 9.246948
2025-05-25 0.957171 1.393787 2.018718 2.990037 4.482824 6.724674 10.411375
2025-06-01 0.866005 1.307666 1.965235 3.030942 4.744358 7.442206 12.112019
2025-06-08 0.798964 1.247092 1.938810 3.103898 5.057030 8.270974 14.108320
2025-06-15 0.728782 1.171922 1.878540 3.110990 5.257168 8.934298 15.915839
2025-06-22 0.654448 1.080854 1.780945 3.041110 5.312647 9.350596 17.335874
2025-06-29 0.594774 1.007202 1.703203 2.993862 5.397851 9.823992 18.925576
2025-07-06 0.540291 0.936428 1.622220 2.929777 5.441185 10.220546 20.418719
2025-07-13 0.519347 0.922145 1.638289 3.044050 5.832729 11.328493 23.525447
2025-07-20 0.474478 0.865105 1.580247 3.029906 6.010616 12.118216 26.284140
2025-07-27 0.446772 0.837872 1.576576 3.126467 6.438635 13.517727 30.745167
2025-08-03 0.412973 0.794500 1.535830 3.140877 6.694406 14.590372 34.681978
2025-08-10 0.382902 0.754670 1.496735 3.152252 6.943900 15.690359 38.929312
2025-08-17 0.346470 0.697699 1.415778 3.061334 6.946751 16.217693 41.836849
2025-08-24 0.326131 0.671643 1.395975 3.103291 7.266186 17.561524 47.227952
2025-08-31 0.310450 0.653600 1.390970 3.178124 7.676999 19.208189 53.862305
2025-09-07 0.290941 0.625016 1.359343 3.185399 7.919931 20.465043 59.677262
2025-09-14 0.267665 0.585544 1.298691 3.113720 7.947464 21.149212 63.927143
2025-09-21 0.248257 0.552832 1.249964 3.065258 8.029440 22.000963 68.929162
2025-09-28 0.229596 0.519938 1.197221 2.999527 8.054142 22.694974 73.599580